UFC 249 ODDS & PICKS
UFC 249, officially scheduled for Saturday, May 9th betting lines are out. Here are the odds:
SAM ALVERY VS RYAN SPANN
SAM ALVEY +325
RYAN SPANN -450
CHARLES ROSA VS BRYCE MITCHELL
CHARLES ROSA +150
BRYCE MITCHELL -180
NIKO PRICE VS VINCENTE LUQUE
NIKO PRICE +220
VINCENTE LUQUE -270
URIAH HALL VS RONALDO SOUZA
URIAH HALL +100
RONALDO SOUZA -130
MICHELLE WATERSON VS CARLA ESPARZA
MICHELLE WATERSON +120
CARLA ESPARZA -150
ALEKSEI OLEINIK VS FABRICIO WERDUM
ALEKSEI OLEINIK +250
FABRICIO WERDUM -320
DONALD CERRONE VS ANTHONY PETTIS
DONALD CERRONE +105
ANTHONY PETTIS -135
YORGAN DE CASTRO VS GREG HARDY
YORGAN DE CASTRO +150
GREG HARDY -180
JEREMY STEPHENS VS CALVIN KATTAR
JEREMY STEPHENS +200
CALVIN KATTAR -250
JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK VS FRANCIS NGANNOU
JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK +230
FRANCIS NGANNOU -280
DOMINICK CRUZ VS HENRY CEJUDO
DOMINICK CRUZ +200
HENRY CEJUDO -250
JUSTIN GAETHJE VS TONY FERGUSON
JUSTIN GAETHJE +150
TONY FERGUSON -180
Needless to say, Dana and the UFC Matchmakers have put together an absolute rocket of a fight card, and knowing we haven’t seen a fight in 44 days (who’s counting), I think it’s time for all of us to put some money on the line. Here’s some Bad Promoter Picks:
Let’s start with the last fight on the Undercard, Cowboy vs. Pettis 2. With both fighters coming off multiple losses, each has a lot to prove and this fight will dictate their respective futures in the welterweight division. Cowboy and Pettis fought once before back in 2013 which resulted in a one-sided, first round TKO victory in Pettis’ favor. Taking that into consideration, I love you Cowboy, but I got Pettis on this one. I don’t think seven years and an extra 15 pounds will work in Cowboy’s favor on May 9th. At only +105, this fight is pretty damn even and a great pick to make some extra cash during this quarantine.
The next fight I like is Yorgan De Castro vs. Greg Hardy. With both fighters known for spectacular finishes, it’s safe to say this is going to be a BRAWL. Either way, Hardy coming off of a busy and storied 2019 have all fight fans excited to see what the controversial NFL Pro-Bowler turned controversial UFC Heavyweight will bring to UFC 249. Despite Hardy’s inexperience in the octagon, his only “true” loss came last November to the No. 7 Ranked UFC Heavyweight, Alex Volkov. Being Hardy’s most high-profile fight, we think he still looked great and was able to display his sheer athleticism once again. You can’t count him out until that last bell rings. Although Castro has an impressive 6-0 Professional MMA Record (5 of which have come via finish), it’s difficult to see him being able to handle Hardy’s size, explosiveness and athleticism. For that reason, I’m taking Greg Hardy by KO/TKO.
Next is Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Francis Ngannou. Never bet against Ngannou, period. That being said, I think this fight goes the distance. Ngannou by Unanimous Decision.
Moving on to the Co-Main Event, Dominick Cruz vs. Henry Cejudo. There’s nothing like a good comeback story and if Cruz were to be able to pull this off, it’s one of the best stories of all time. Along with that, Cruz does have a past of long layoffs to spectacular wins. Unfortunately we don’t think this will be his night. Henry Cejudo, the self-proclaimed best combat sports athlete of all time, is most likely going to run through Cruz. At -250, we think this is a safe bet. How will this fight finish? I honestly couldn’t tell you, but put your money on Cejudo coming out victorious.
Finally, we have the Main Event of UFC 249, Tony Ferguson vs. Justin Gaethje. Are you still mad about another failed attempt at Tony vs. Khabib? Don’t be. This fight will be more entertaining and will end in dramatic fashion. Gaethje is an absolute savage, and if he were to win, that may be the end to the Khabib and Tony saga. That’s a terrible reality to accept, so we won’t. Tony finishes Justin in under 3. I like the idea of a submission, so let’s go with Tony’s favorite D’arce Choke.
Those are the fights we’re betting on at The Bad Promoter. Who you got?
